Wednesday May 16 2012

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4-9-09 Forecast: KS/OK/AR/TX/MO

Severe Weather looks pretty possible tommorow across parts of SE KS/E OK/AR/NE TX/S MO... There is a nice nose of a CAPE which reaches 2000 (SB) across parts of eastern OK. Moisture may be lacking slightly in some places but I think everyone mentioned in the forecast will see at least 50 dews by tommorow early afternoon. It doesn't appear shear will be an issue at all and based on the models I would envision storms breaking out around 3:30 - 5:30 Thursday afternoon in a broken like from near the low in southeast Kansas all the way down to east of Dallas along a dry line... Storm motion to me looks to be northeast/or slightly east...

Target: Miami, OK
Time: 5:00pm CDT

That is my tornado target. Initiation target would probably be near Tulsa, OK around 3:30 - 4:00pm CDT

For more information on my updated forecasts visit my website and be sure to view my live stream tommorow...

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