The first Moderate Risk of 2012 has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center.

Tornadoes are likely and a few strong, long-lived tornadoes are possible.

SevereStudios will have chasers streaming LIVE video later today!

Keep aware of the weather today if you live in the risk area!
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

WE ARE UNDER A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HERE IN WESTERN, NY UNTIL 4 PM FRIDAY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AS COLDER AIR WRAPS IN BEHIND DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OVER LAKE ERIE RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AND ACCUMULATE 3-6 INCHES AREA WIDE. WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 50 MPH WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW RESULTING IN TOUGH TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

WE ARE ALSO UNDER A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH HERE IN SOUTHWESTERN NY FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY...

SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF LAKE ERIE ACROSS AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF BUFFALO DURING THE AFTERNOON ON FRIDAY AND LAST INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.
AREAS FROM SOUTHWESTERN NY INTO NORTHEASTERN OHIO COULD LOCALLY PICK UP
2 FEET OF SNOW. STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.
TRAVEL ALONG I-90 WILL BE TRICKY.

For all those that plan to chase in the state of Oklahoma for the 2012 season. The Oklahoma Highway Patrol (OHP) has given a statement regarding storm chasers working in Oklahoma. "ANYONE THAT IS RUNNING WITH A SIREN ON THEIR VEHICLE AND ACTING LIKE (DRIVING LIKE) THEY ARE LAW ENFORCEMENT WILL BE ARRESTED AND PRESECUTED FOR IMPERSONATING AN OFFICER. WHILE THIS LAW HAS BEEN ON THE BOOKS FOR YEARS. WITH THE AMOUNT OF STORM CHASERS ON THE ROAD OHP IS FED UP WITH THOSE PEOPLE STORM CHASING AND ACTING LIKE THEY ARE LAW ENFORCEMENT OR FEELING LIKE THEY ARE ABOVE THE LAW INCLUDING EXCESSIVE SPEEDING THROUGH SMALL TOWNS AND EXTREME SPEEDS ON THE HIGHWAYS AND INTERSTATES. ANYONE USING A SIRENS IS ILLEAGALLY USING IT. NO ONE IN THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA IS LEGALLY ALLOWED TO USE A VEHICLE MOUNTED SIREN IF YOU ARE NOT LAW ENFORCEMENT AND THOSE THAT ACT IN THIS FASHION..WELL LET’S JUST SAY I HOPE THEY HAVE DEEP POCKETS FOR BAIL AND ATTORNEY'S FEES, BECAUSE THEY WILL NEED IT. WE ARE NOT SAYING NOT TO STORM CHASE, WE JUST ASK THAT YOU DO IT WITHIN THE LAWS OF OKLAHOMA. IF NOT WE WILL ENFORCE THE LAWS AND YOU WILL PAY THE PRICE". The bottom line is that law enforcement is fed up with the morons out there that think because they are storm chasers they can drive however they want running lights and sirens. According to this statement you better rethink that...Storm chasing has hit an all time high. I am proud to be apart of that. But just like any large group you will have that slect few that think they are above the law and will do whatever they want.

Last Wednesday's tragic and historic tornado outbreak was unprecedented in the past 75 years of U.S. history, topping even the 1974 "Super Outbreak." The number of deaths are now close to 340 people. It will take a while to sort out the actual number of tornadoes, with NWS surveys ongoing. At least one tornado has been rated EF5 so far (Sunday a.m. 5/1/11).

There is a Moderate Risk today. A few strong tornadoes are possible late this afternoon.
MORE DETAILS

The highest threat for tornadoes is in southeast Kansas, eastern Oklahoma, northeast Texas, western Arkansas, and southwest Missouri. Very large hail is also likely in these areas.

SevereStudios will have chasers in the tornado risk area later today streaming LIVE video!

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There is a Moderate Risk tomorrow. People in the moderate risk area are urged to stay tuned to local media and NOAA weather radio for the latest information on this possible severe weather outbreak.

Latest from the Storm Prediction Center(SPC)
A N-S BAND OF SCATTERED INITIALLY DISCRETE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL WILL MOVE E OFF THE DRYLINE. LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TOWARDS EVENING AS LARGE CLOCKWISE CURVED HODOGRAPHS /300-450 EFFECTIVE SRH/ WILL SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TORNADO/S...IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL/DMGG WINDS...WITH THE MORE INTENSE SUPERCELLS.

SeverStudios will have chasers in the moderate risk area tomorrow. Stay tuned..

There is a Moderate Risk today. A few strong tornadoes are possible late this afternoon.

The highest threat for tornadoes is in southeast Minnesota, much of Wisconsin, extreme southern UP of Michigan, eastern Iowa, and northern Illinois. Very large hail is also likely in these areas.

SevereStudios will have chasers in the tornado risk area later today streaming LIVE video!

SPC: "A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE EPISODE... INCLUDING FAST MOVING SUPERCELLS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TORNADOES... WILL EXIST FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING..."

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Looks like an extremely active weekend, myself and several other chasers from SevereStudios are heading out to cover back to back severe weather events. Looks like today the highest tornado potential will be in eastern NE/western IA, and then along the IA/MN borer between I-29 and I-35... capping may play a role in holding off storm development until around 6pm this evening...
Sunday looks like a possible tornado outbreak with strong tornadoes possible, especially in parts of eastern IA/northern-western IL/much of WI/and eastern MN...
Follow me on Twitter www.twitter.com/findthetornado
Also check out www.findthetornado.com my personal site for more details and be sure to stop by the store as we will be adding some great new items before May 1st!
Thanks,

Andy

There is a Moderate Risk today. A few strong tornadoes are possible late this afternoon.

The highest threat for tornadoes is in extreme southeast South Dakota, southern Minnesota, and northwest Iowa. Very large hail is also likely in these areas.

SevereStudios will have chasers in the tornado risk area later today streaming LIVE video!

There is also a risk for tornadoes in portions of TX/OK and KY/TN.

SPC: "SBCAPE IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL PROVE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. ADDITIONALLY... LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS STRONGLY SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES AS SFC-3KM HELICITY IS EXPECTED TO BE IN EXCESS OF 300 M2/S2. FOR THIS REASON A FEW STRONG TORNADOES COULD BE NOTED ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR IMMEDIATELY SOUTH OF THE RETREATING WARM FRONT."

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The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk today.

SevereStudios will have chasers in the risk area today streaming LIVE video.

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