Tuesday May 22 2012

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Severe Weather - Easter Sunday
Possibility of very large hail on Easter Sunday.
2010_04_04-severe-threats.jpg

There is a Slight Risk today. The main severe threat at this time is very large hail, especially in northeast Missouri into western Illinois.

A few tornadoes are also possible today.

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Thank You!

Thank you for posting this notice. It is a nice public service.

Re: SPC update (7:41 CDT)

Pat, reading the SPC & local WFO discussions, it is really apparent that the models do not agree. 3 of the 5 models say 10-15% of MESO/TVS The SPC model is at 5% and the other one is a bust. Albeit, in the discussions they also have the spotters on notice saying "Spotter Activity may be needed from 4pm - 2am CDT." which fits in with a severe hail probability of 30%. Where there is severe hail... there is usually a good chance for a funnel cloud/tornado.

SPC update (7:41 CDT)

latest update from SPC now adds a 5% tor risk area for AR

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